Anti Martingale Blackjack

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Anti Martingale Blackjack

Anti-Martingale (Reverse Martingale) Anti-Martingale is considered another, safer version of the original strategy. The system is also known as Reverse Martingale due to the fact that it actually uses the Martingale system in reverse. According to the rules, a player must double the bets after winning, instead of raising them when losing. The anti-martingale approach, also known as the reverse martingale, instead increases bets after wins, while reducing them after a loss. The perception is that the gambler will benefit from a winning streak or a 'hot hand', while reducing losses while 'cold' or otherwise having a losing streak.

Anti Martingale Blackjack Training

First I will say that if I have thought of it, someone else has. Since it isn't being touted as the wonder of BJ, I am 99% sure this doesn't work. On the other hand, I can't help but ask.
I am good at math but do not have any experience with running simulations and finding probabilities etc. which some of you may have at your disposal. Now of course the Martingale system blows up (into the thousands/millions very quickly) at losing streaks that will absolutely happen, completely devastating winnings that accumulate relatively slowly. My proposal is this:
Do a modified Martingale that begins with a $5 and ends at $20 (or 40?). If you lose your 20, start the system over again. Do this only at a positive count to reduce losses.
I am playing 6 deck, H17, DAS, resplit aces, surrender.
Now guessing that loss percentage will be around 49% though I am positive that some will know better and that it should be lower especially with counting involved.
(.49)^3=.118 or 1:8.5
Win = 7.5x5 - 1x(20+10+5) = 37.5 -35 = $2.5
There would also be the addition of 3:2 blackjack which would increase winning and not affect losses. Even several bad runs will not result in the projected losses of a true martingale or hopefully the wins associated with several good runs.
Please tell me what you think. I would love to see the math that would show if this works or not. Thank you for your time.